2010 Collections Business
Analysis Sample accounts and Dollars Outstanding
By
Ray E. Noftsinger, President
American Payment
Technologies, Inc.
March 2, 2010
This White Paper
is available at (
www.justpayontheweb.com/provider
). ALL efforts in this document focus on maximizing your collections PRIOR to sending
the accounts out to any third party agency or firm. The roll rate percentages are
for discussion only and do NOT reflect any client’s performance. Whatever your data produces these same
concepts work for you in a similar way (just adjust the
initial accounts
or outstanding $ cells).
The purpose of this White Paper is to look at the
Concept
and not the dollars
or percentages collected.
Secondly, let me
identify the primary credit grantor types for using this concept for maximum benefit.
This approach centers on maintaining a customer relationship and favorable impression
while collecting and quickly moving to legal on accounts that you would not want
to have as customers anyway. It involves developing a professional rigid collection
system of policy and strategy. Finally, it involves the use of automated low cost
vendors in harmony with your internal efforts. Examples would include all mid-sized or smaller
credit grantors, credit unions, hospitals and physicians, utilities, cable/cell
phone providers, and local governments in some cases.
The services offered by American Payment
Technologies, Inc. provide detailed financial tracking data to verify the performance
against current methods and performance levels. Customized Services are offered
to improve performance under requirements two and three. www.JustPayOnTheWeb.com/provider
Professional Collection System
The fundamental fact is that you should know where you stand on all unpaid accounts
prior to 100 days from the first statement sent date. There is little to NO value in holding an account longer in hopes of collecting. Effective application of energy in the
first 100 days gains the maximum return of funds. (In hospital accounts the first day starts
when all insurance claims have been applied.)
The most efficient organizations have both a Collection Policy and a Collection
Strategy that is in writing and understood by the appropriate persons.
Collection Policy
- When are statements
sent? What is the
interval between statements? How many
statements are sent?
-
When phone calls are made, what is the minimum account balance used?
-
What are the messages on statements and in phone calls?
-
When does the account go outside for collections? What factors other than delinquency time are used? (Account Balance, Credit
Score, assets, past payment history, future income potential)
-
When does the account get written off?
-
What conditions exist for you to use a pre-collection letter service, small claims
court, a collection attorney, a collection agency, or temporary in-house collector?
-
If customer makes some small attempt to pay, how far do you go to accept a settlement?
Collection Strategy
-
To collect unpaid accounts as quickly as possible
-
To collect unpaid accounts with as little
investment of time and money as possible
-
To collect unpaid accounts with the least possible loss of business
All accounts should be resolved
within 100 days from Statement #1.
-
You start with a written Billing and Collection Policy
-
Gather as much credit information as possible as soon as possible
-
Deliver the product/services – collect as much as possible prior to delivery of
services
- Statement #1
- Statement #2
-
First phone call –
10 days after statement mailing date
-
Statement #3
- Statement #4
-
Action taken 10 days after Statement #4
Three Requirements for Success:
- Trap specific data “metrics” to measure the effectiveness of your
efforts
- Apply 80% of your energy improving the earliest stages of the
collection process by running
parallel testing
- Apply 20% of your energy improving the last 45 days before you send
the accounts to a third party by running parallel testing
The services offered by American Payment
Technologies, Inc. provide detailed financial tracking data to verify the performance
against current methods and performance levels. Customized Services are offered
to improve performance under requirements two and three. www.JustPayOnTheWeb.com/provider
Requirement ONE
1. Trap specific data “metrics” to measure the effectiveness of your
efforts
A key to improvement
in your collections involves accurate measurement of both your
current methods and
the parallel testing of new approaches.
If you don’t know where you
are how can you tell if you have improved? Many collection professionals hold fast to traditional methods for the wrong reasons. There is the pressure to keep the status
quo.
-
If your predecessor and/or industry peers do it the current way then there must
have been a good reason.
-
Fear of trying something new that could either not work or create negative
attention
to your job performance and stability.
-
Fear of having to report and face the reality of your current collections
performance.
This point involves more detail than merely measuring the dollar volume or number
of accounts written off. It involves
tracking funds received at each of the cycles in the process correctly.
Insanity = “continuing to do the same things and
expecting different results”
Today we live in a totally
different consumer financial environment than has ever been witnessed before. We could invest pages of data related
to this but for clarity here are a few facts:
Current Economic Forecasts
Consensus
- Consumer debt is too high. Little spending power
remains.
-
$2 Trillion worth of adjustable rate mortgages have already re-set. 28% of mortgages exceed market
value. Huge wave of Commercial Mortgages coming due with negative equity.
-
Consumer credit
quality will continue to weaken
-
Job markets will slowly continue to decline. Most unemployed will not be re-hired for a long time
and then not in their skill and pay rate.
-
Auto lenders will see erosion in credit quality forcing dismal sales figures.
-
Bankruptcy numbers exceed pre-2005 levels
-
Interest rates will remain flat
-
Housing markets will remain in doldrums
-
Retail chains will struggle
-
Higher delinquency and chargeoff rates for the industry in 2010
The services offered by American Payment
Technologies, Inc. provide detailed financial tracking data to verify the performance
against current methods and performance levels. Customized Services are offered
to improve performance under requirements two and three. www.JustPayOnTheWeb.com/provider
Requirement TWO
2. Apply 80% of your
energy improving the earliest stages of the collection process by running parallel
testing
Let’s take a look at which cycle of improvement generates the greatest savings in
the
collection process.
The first table
indicates for an example a sample of 12,500 accounts (or you can
choose an outstanding balance) as they flow through the collection cycles. As you can see we are assuming set theoretical flow through percentage rates with each
example.
(Note: chargeoff
is higher than the 90 day due to accts going direct to chargeoff from all prior
categories)
Now lets look at improving the 30 day
cycle by 10%
Now lets look at improving the 60 Day
cycle by 10%
|
|
|
|
|
Monthly Savings $0
$10,500
$8,925
$9,159
|
|
Roll Rate Cycles Current to 30 Days
30 to 60 Days 60 Days to 90 Days
90 Days to Chargeoff Chargeoff
|
Accts. 12,500
625
315
268
569
|
% Cur. 100.00%
5.00% 2.52%
2.14% 4.56%
|
% Prev
$ Outstanding $3,750,000
5.00% $187,500
50.40% $94,500
85.00% $80,325
$170,841
|
|
|
|
|
Total Monthly Savings
|
$28,584
|
Finally, let’s look
at improving the 90 Day + cycle by 10%
|
|
|
|
|
Monthly Savings $0
$0
$8,925
$4,208
|
|
Roll Rate Cycles Current to 30 Days
30 to 60 Days 60 Days to
90 Days 90 Days to Chargeoff
Chargeoff
|
Accts. 12,500
625
350
268
586
|
% Cur. 100.00%
5.00% 2.80%
2.14% 4.69%
|
% Prev
$ Outstanding $3,750,000
5.00% $187,500
56.00% $105,000
76.50% $80,325
$175,792
|
|
|
|
|
Total Monthly Savings
|
$13,133
|
As you can see, the greater gains are possible in the earliest cycles.
The services offered by American Payment
Technologies, Inc. provide detailed financial tracking data to verify the performance
against current methods and performance levels. Customized Services are offered
to improve performance under requirements two and three. www.JustPayOnTheWeb.com/provider
Requirement THREE
3. Apply 20% of your energy improving the last 45 days before you send the accounts
to a third party by running parallel testing.
The “net” funds
collected in the
first 100 days from statement #1 are extremely high
compared to the netback of funds after assignment to a third party. Although your third party vendors would be very upset, you have an obligation
to expend effort to collect as much as possible internally prior to the outsourcing.
Companies solicit
your organization
for pre-collection letters and other tools to recover the internal
accounts frequently. When the collection agency finds out they will offer the service free or
at low cost in order to prevent the program from becoming effective. This
type of service
for you is a total conflict of interest that competes with their collection fees at the next step. Since they have an existing relationship it is relatively easy to
keep these useful products from being tested due to their control of the relationship
with your contact person.
Let’s just be honest with ourselves here for a minute. Once you assign your low balances
to a third party agency or law firm there
is almost NO hope of ever seeing hardly any money collected.
Put yourself in their shoes. If the agency is getting paid on a percentage of funds collected then the potential revenue
to the agency on a small balance is tiny.
So, the agency will at the most write a letter or two, or perform a single predictive
dialing phone campaign, or merely leave answering machine messages on the low balances.
Most agencies will probably do little
to nothing at some low balance level.
Since we all know that this is what will happen on the low balances, why not offer
a generous hardship discount PRIOR to assigning the low balance accounts out?
Now that we have identified the minimal value of working the low balances without big discount, let’s consider
applying more energy to collect the higher balances via account discounting PRIOR
to assigning the accounts outside. If for example your collection firm is averaging collections of 15% of
funds assigned and then takes a 20% fee of collected funds then your “netback” is only 12% of funds assigned.
You could
at least offer the Customer a one time last chance 70% discount to pay you or you
will have no other choice than to report to the credit bureau and assign the account. You
would still get more net funds and perhaps keep the customer should their situation
improve in the future.
If the customer doesn’t take the offer, then you can have the
collection firm give it a try as you are currently doing. You can substitute your own percentages here
but the concept still makes sense to everybody except the collections firm.
With a few simple
tools in this last stage prior to assignment and with the discounts offered, you
could have a high probability of achieving double the netback funds you are currently
obtaining and possibly preserve the relationship with the customer should they improve
down the road.
The services offered by American Payment
Technologies, Inc. provide detailed financial tracking data to verify the performance
against current methods and performance levels. Customized Services are offered
to improve performance under requirements two and three. www.JustPayOnTheWeb.com/provider